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Oil Prices Running Out Of Reasons To Rally

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Oil prices faltered at the start of the second week of the year, as fears set in about a rapid rebound in US shale production. Aside from a single week in October, the US oil industry has deployed more rigs in every week dating back to June, a remarkable run that has resulted in more than 200 fresh rigs drilling for oil.

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Oil price tumbles after OPEC releases 2015 forecast

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In fact this year’s price plunge hasn’t hurt just the weaker OPEC members. Bloomberg reports that oil prices now are too low for 10 of its 12 members to balance their governments’ budgets. The exceptions, the news agency reports, are Kuwait and Qatar.

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IHS Markit: US poised to be world’s largest LNG exporter in 2022 as China becomes top LNG importer

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The report, LNG Trade in 2021: Runaway Recovery , finds that the United States, which was the third-largest LNG exporter behind Australia and Qatar for the full year of 2021, is poised to claim the top spot in 2022. MMt), followed by Qatar at 81.3 Total loaded LNG supply in 2021 reached 396.3 MMt, up 5.5% MMt relative to 2020.

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BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

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The “Arab Spring” affected oil and gas supplies—most notably the complete, albeit temporary, loss of Libyan supply—while the tragic Fukushima accident in Japan had knock-on effects for nuclear and other energy sources around the world. bbl, they were the second-highest in inflation adjusted terms, behind only 1864.

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Opinion: Saudi Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide?

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In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices. Prices rebounded to $60 for a few months, before falling once again below $50.

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Opinion: OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Oil Strategy?

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Together, the three quotes provide a framework for analyzing Saudi options heading into the December 4 OPEC meeting in Vienna and its choices vis-à-vis the OPEC outsiders (all members but Saudi Arabia and its Gulf Arab allies, Kuwait, UAE, Qatar): reconciliation, separation, or divorce. If You’re a Free Range Oil Producer.

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Opinion: Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Meeting

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OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. billion) and $1 billion ($2.5