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Kuwait Researchers Forecast Global Conventional Crude Oil Production Will Peak in 2014; New Multicyclic Hubbert Model

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World crude oil production model. Scientists from Kuwait University and Kuwait Oil Company are forecasting that world conventional crude oil production will peak in 2014—almost a decade earlier than some other predictions. The presented method is a viable tool to predict the peak oil production rate and time.

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EIA: New refineries will increase global refining capacity in 2022 and 2023; China leads

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The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that global refining capacity decreased by 730,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2021—the first decline in global refining capacity in 30 years. million b/d since the start of 2020, contributing 184,000 b/d to the global decline in 2021. million b/d in 2022 and by an additional 1.6

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EIA: At least 9 new refinery projects to come online before end of 2023 in Asia and Middle East; 2.9 MMb/d

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million barrels per day (MMb/d) of global refinery capacity once fully operational. In the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) June 2022 Oil Market Report, the IEA expects net global refining capacity to expand by 1.0 The scheduled expansions follow a period of reduced global refining capacity. million b/d in 2023.

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IEA: non-OPEC oil supply tops 43 mb/d for first time in decades; global demand to reach 92.4 mb/d in 2014

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The International Energy Agency’s (IEA’s) Oil Market Report (OMR) for December raised the estimate of global oil demand for 2013 by 130,000 barrels per day (130 kb/d) to 91.2 Global demand is now seen advancing by 1.2 Global demand is now seen advancing by 1.2 Global refinery crude runs plunged to 73.6

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Oil price tumbles after OPEC releases 2015 forecast

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The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC’s latest forecast. OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 Abhishek Deshpande, an oil market analyst at Natixis, agreed.

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Opinion: Saudi Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide?

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In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices. Plunging oil prices have substantially reduced Saudi revenues. Racing to Barrel Oil.

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Opinion: OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Oil Strategy?

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Together, the three quotes provide a framework for analyzing Saudi options heading into the December 4 OPEC meeting in Vienna and its choices vis-à-vis the OPEC outsiders (all members but Saudi Arabia and its Gulf Arab allies, Kuwait, UAE, Qatar): reconciliation, separation, or divorce. If You’re a Free Range Oil Producer.

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