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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Energy consumption by light-duty vehicles in the United States, AEO2013 and AEO2014, 1995-2040 (quadrillion Btu). The fuel economy of gasoline-powered LDVs continues to increase, and advanced technology fuel efficiency subsystems are added, such as micro hybridization, which is installed on 42% of gasoline LDVs in 2040.

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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2019 projects continued robust growth in US energy production, emergence of the United States as an energy exporter, and a cleaner S electric power generation mix. Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9 trillion miles in 2018 to 3.5

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ExxonMobil: diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one global transportation fuel by 2020

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Diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one transportation fuel worldwide by 2020 and continue to increase its share through 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s recently published Outlook For Energy: A View To 2040. Full hybrid vehicles will make up about 40% of the fleet in 2040—more than 50% of new car sales in 2040.

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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

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By 2040, hybrids are expected to account for about 35% of the global light-duty vehicle fleet, up from less than 1% in 2010. Hybrids are expected to account for about half of global new-car sales by 2040. The growth reflects an expected 90% increase in electricity use, led by developing countries where 1.3 Source: ExxonMobil.

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Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

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Total transportation fuel use in California broken down by subsector and fuel type for each scenario: business-as-usual (BAU); plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs); and combined PEVs and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs). Source: Yang et al. Click to enlarge. —Yang et al. Realistic case for PEVs. passenger cars and trucks) by 2050.

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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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Hybrid vehicles are projected to grow from 1% of new-car sales in 2010 to close to 50% of sales by 2040, making up about one-third of the global fleet at that time. Energy required to meet rising electricity demand will account for about half of total demand growth. Projected sales of light-duty vehicles by type.

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EPA: US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Rose 1.4% in 2007

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Fuel purchased in the US for international aircraft and marine travel accounted for an additional 108.8 Among domestic transportation sources, light duty vehicles represented 61% of CO 2 emissions, medium- and heavy-duty trucks 22%, commercial aircraft 8%, and other sources 10%. The transportation end-use sector accounted for 1,924.6

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