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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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For the Transportation sector, EIA projects that energy consumption will decline between 2019 and 2037 (in the Reference case) because increases in fuel economy more than offset growth in vehicle miles traveled (VMT). Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9

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ExxonMobil: diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one global transportation fuel by 2020

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Diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one transportation fuel worldwide by 2020 and continue to increase its share through 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s recently published Outlook For Energy: A View To 2040. Diesel demand accounts for 70% of the growth in demand for all transportation fuels through the forecast period to 2040.

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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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Energy consumption by light-duty vehicles in the United States, AEO2013 and AEO2014, 1995-2040 (quadrillion Btu). The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. Source: EIA.

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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

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By 2040, hybrids are expected to account for about 35% of the global light-duty vehicle fleet, up from less than 1% in 2010. Hybrids are expected to account for about half of global new-car sales by 2040. This unprecedented improvement in global fuel economy is expected to reflect a surge in hybrid vehicle sales.

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Reported US Hybrid Sales Up 42% in December, Down 7.5% for CY 2009; New Vehicle Market Share of 2.8% for CY 2009

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Top: Reported sales of US hybrids in 2009 resulted in a 2.8% Bottom right: Unit sales of hybrid and non-hybrid vehicles. Reported sales of hybrids in the US rose 42% in December 2009 year-on-year to 25,167 units; sales for the year decreased 7.5% Overall, light duty vehicle sales rose 15.1% of all GS sales.

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Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

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And the remaining non-electrified transport was made as efficient as possible to reduce the amount of liquid fuels needed. This leads to scenarios where light duty vehicles are largely electrified, while aviation, marine and heavy duty continue to rely on liquids fuels. —Yang et al. Realistic case for PEVs.

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EPA: US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Rose 1.4% in 2007

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emissions from fossil fuel combustion, 26% of CH 4 emissions from fossil fuel combustion, and 67% of N 2 O emissions from fossil fuel combustion, respectively. Fuel purchased in the US for international aircraft and marine travel accounted for an additional 108.8 Tg of CO 2 in 2007, which represented 33% of CO 2.

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