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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

Green Car Congress

By 2040, hybrids are expected to account for about 35% of the global light-duty vehicle fleet, up from less than 1% in 2010. Hybrids are expected to account for about half of global new-car sales by 2040. However, looking ahead, about 80% of the growth in the global fleet will come from non-OECD countries.

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ExxonMobil: diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one global transportation fuel by 2020

Green Car Congress

The relative shift away from motor gasoline to diesel is driven by improving light-duty vehicle fuel economy and the growth in commercial transportation activity. Fuel for aviation and marine will increase about 75% and 90%, respectively, over the Outlook period, with their combined share growing from about 20% today to more than 25% by 2040.

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Reported Sales of US Hybrids Up 48.6% in August; 3.07% Market Share

Green Car Congress

Market share of reported hybrid sales in the US. Buoyed by the extension of the US Cash for Clunkers (CARS) program, as well as the availability of more hybrid models on the market, reported sales of hybrids in the US jumped 48.6% Reported hybrid sales represented 3.07% of new vehicle sales in August. Click to enlarge.

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US LDV Sales Down 34.4% in April; Hybrid Sales Down 45.5%

Green Car Congress

Reported US sales of light-duty vehicles in April dropped 34.4% Sales of passenger cars dropped 34.2% to 432,939 units, while sales of light trucks dropped 34.5% Passenger cars continued to expand their market share against light trucks in April, with a 52.8% Sales of cars were down 28.8% US LDV SAAR.

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Reported US Hybrid Sales Up 42% in December, Down 7.5% for CY 2009; New Vehicle Market Share of 2.8% for CY 2009

Green Car Congress

Top: Reported sales of US hybrids in 2009 resulted in a 2.8% Bottom right: Unit sales of hybrid and non-hybrid vehicles. Reported sales of hybrids in the US rose 42% in December 2009 year-on-year to 25,167 units; sales for the year decreased 7.5% Overall, light duty vehicle sales rose 15.1% of all GS sales.

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Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

Green Car Congress

This leads to scenarios where light duty vehicles are largely electrified, while aviation, marine and heavy duty continue to rely on liquids fuels. Maximum fleet share for PEVs appears to be limited due to two factors. —Yang et al. Realistic case for PEVs. passenger cars and trucks) by 2050. —Yang et al.

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Cash for Clunkers Buoys US Auto Sales; Hybrid Sales Up 31.8% for Monthly New Vehicle Share of 3.55%

Green Car Congress

Buoyed by the US government’s CARS (“Cash for Clunkers”) program, US auto sales slowed their decline in the US in July, dropping on 12.1% Passenger car sales dropped 10.6% to 554, 527 units, while light truck sales dropped 14.1% Hybrids had an especially good month, with reported sales jumping 31.8% General Motors.