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The collapse in world oilprices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60
The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC’s latest forecast. OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 In fact this year’s price plunge hasn’t hurt just the weaker OPEC members.
The world’s consumption of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, heating oil, and other petroleum products reached a record high of 88.9 In 2011 and 2012, higher oilprices and increased fuel efficiency of light-duty vehicles contributed to reduced US consumption. Petroleum use in Europe has declined in every year since 2006.
Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oilprices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.
We have seen softer numbers out of Europe and firmer numbers out of the U.S.” dollar to go up, which is putting downward pressure on prices,” Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago, told Reuters. dollar is one important variable influencing oilprices. But the U.S. and the euro by 5.4%.”.
Tesla’s ( NASDAQ: TSLA ) plans to expand its production capacity, along with other factors like surging oilprices that could sway consumers to electric vehicles, have contributed to Daiwa Securities analysts upgrading their outlook on the automaker’s stock.
The potential for growth in demand for liquid fuels is focused on the emerging economies of China, India, and the Middle East, while liquid fuels demand in the United States, Europe, and other regions with well-established oil markets seems to have peaked. Non-OPEC crude and lease condensate production increases by 10 MMbbl/d.
The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran is becoming increasingly evident in the oilpricing policies of the two large Middle Eastern producers. The two countries are currently reigniting the market share and pricing war ahead of the returning U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil. by Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com.
The “Arab Spring” affected oil and gas supplies—most notably the complete, albeit temporary, loss of Libyan supply—while the tragic Fukushima accident in Japan had knock-on effects for nuclear and other energy sources around the world. bbl, they were the second-highest in inflation adjusted terms, behind only 1864.
Russia’s central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads in the European market amid the oilprice downturn.
The year 2022 was marked by the emergence of longer-term economic repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic and an unexpected war in Eastern Europe that caused turmoil in energy markets. Industrial production was affected by supply chain turmoil and rising oilprices, leading to higher production and shipping costs.
High oilprices, impending emissions regulations and technical advancements are propelling the market faster than we expected. On 6-7 June, Zeus will host an LNG-Fueled Marine Advancements meeting to present the survey, review trends and tour a new LNG-turbine propulsion system by GE. What surprised us is the rate. —Tom Campbell.
High oilprices, a global economic rebound, and new laws and mandates in Argentina, Brazil, Canada, China, and the United States, among other countries, are all factors behind the surge in production, according to research conducted by the Worldwatch Institute’s Climate and Energy Program for the website Vital Signs Online.
From 2017 to 2018, PEV sales doubled in North America, and sales in Europe and China increased 39% and 77%, respectively, according to a new report from Navigant Research. —Scott Shepard, senior research analyst with Navigant Research. Though PEV market growth has been considerable, challenges remain.
A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oilprices.
While Europe will be the leader in biodiesel development, other markets with growing diesel vehicle fleets will help set the foundation for a strong global biodiesel market. Through 2013, ethanol accounted for 78% of biofuels consumption. Navigant projects the global biodiesel market will grow from 6.9 BGPY in 2013 to almost 12.2
Europe is now in a full-scale coronavirus crisis with demand conditions worsening by the day. Europe autos demand for 2020 is set at 15.6 EVs also face another headwind with the low price of oilprices, making them less competitive in terms of fuel cost savings vis-à-vis their internal combustion engine counterparts.
With prices expected to increase in the long term, however, the world oilprice in real 2011 dollars reaches $106 per barrel in 2020 and $163 per barrel in 2040, according to IEO2013. Factors underlying the IEO2013 nuclear power projections are mixed.
Even with CCS, the liquid product costs are comparable to recent crude oilprices. For a liquids-only configuration, CCS is a cheaper option when the CO 2 price exceeds $12/tonne. The conference series rotates between, North America, Europe and Asia. GHGT-11 will be held 18- November 2012 in Kyoto.
” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oilprices in the $90/bbl region. Click to enlarge.
The resulting crash in oilprices is forcing some production out of the market, and Saudi Arabia intends for the brunt of that to be borne by others. There is a lag between movements in the oilprice and corresponding changes in production. But the effects of the oilprice crash are now being felt.
Because the future development of socioeconomic variables, oilprice, and the carbon intensity of electricity are outside the transportation sector and uncertain, the team used a set of three scenarios for plausible ranges for their future development.
According to Bloomberg’s Carl Pope , Europe and Japan, previously reluctant to take part in any anti-OPEC projects, may now join in. The reason they are likely to join in is that unlike in previous oilprice cycles, now there are alternatives to fossil fuels. India, China, and Europe are all very big on EV adoption.
Prices of distillate fuels change with the price of crude oil and with developments specific to distillate product markets. In 2022, both low global distillate fuel inventories and high crude oilprices have been contributing to higher global distillate prices.
Today, a proposed bill could cut Georgia's electric-car fee, an advocate makes the case for diesel pickup trucks, and a huge trader believes oilprices will remain low for a decade. The Tesla Model X electric crossover will go on sale in China before Europe. All this and more on Green Car Reports.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects higher-than-average natural gas prices globally as demand remains high this winter in the United States, Europe, and Asia, and inventories remain low. That price will be the highest inflation-adjusted monthly average price since 2008.
According to a separate report from SAFE, a Washington-based think tank, the oil industry has cut somewhere around $225 billion in capex in 2015 and 2016, which will lead to global supplies 4 million barrels per day lower in 2018-2020, compared to what market analysts expected as of 2014. The price acts as a self-correcting mechanism.
According to Bloomberg’s Carl Pope , Europe and Japan, previously reluctant to take part in any anti-OPEC projects, may now join in. The reason they are likely to join in is that unlike in previous oilprice cycles, now there are alternatives to fossil fuels. India, China, and Europe are all very big on EV adoption.
High oilprices, persistent differences in gas and electricity prices between regions and rising energy import bills in many countries focus attention on the relationship between energy and the broader economy. However, this does not imply a new era of oil abundance, the report cautions.
Although conventional light-duty hybrids are facing declining sales in North America and have failed to grow significantly in China, growing interest in Europe and consistent support in Japan will grow the market at a healthy CAGR of around 4.7% —“Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts”. through 2024, according to Navigant.
The same year, Navigant expects 82% of vehicles in Western Europe to have a stop-start feature, along with nearly 69% of vehicles sold in Asia Pacific. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices. Forecasts SSVs'
Navigant expects that with a wider gap between natural and liquid fuel prices and more aggressive incentives, Western Europe and to a lesser degree Asia Pacific, will continue to see NGV growth, but at a lower rate than previous projections. In Europe, Volkswagen is challenging longtime LD NGV leader Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA).
The horizontal red lines show the comparable price of gasoline (before tax, refining margin 0.3 $/gal, exchange rate: 1 € = 1.326 $) with crude oilprices 100 $/bbl and 150 $/bbl. VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland is the largest multi-technology applied research organization in Northern Europe. Source: VTT.
In January, the UK Office of Fair Trading said that increases in gasoline and diesel prices over the past ten years are largely caused by increases in taxation and oilprices and not a lack of competition. Pre-tax, the UK has some of the cheapest road fuel prices in Europe, according to the OFT.)
Improved transport connectivity will help increase trade links between Kazakhstan and the markets in East Asia, the Caspian Sea region, and further to Europe. The decline of global oilprices since 2014 and lower external demand has encouraged the government to create a favorable environment for business-driven regional economic development.
Whereas fuel cost used to be a major driver for fleet managers, the lowering of oilprices and the availability of low-cost natural gas has reduced this concern, Navigant notes.
Thus, high energy prices lead to high food prices, as transport and fertilizers become more expensive. High oilprices increase the appeal of biofuels, and a subsequent increasing demand for corn and grain leads to higher food prices and additional food scarcity.
Effects on food prices will remain limited (maximum +0.5% in Brazil, +0.14% in Europe). Tags: Biodiesel Emissions Ethanol Europe Land use Lifecycle analysis Policy. Depending on the flexibility allowed for the ratio between the two biofuels, land use effects and trade policy effects can be very different.
Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oilprice remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.
billion of final investment decisions on offshore wind projects in Europe. Investment in Europe advanced less than 1% to $57.5 Another challenge was, at first sight, the impact of the 50%-plus collapse in the oilprice in the second half of last year. billion between those two countries—and a record $18.6
Europe has become the epicenter of impact with nearly 50,000 units of lost production in March and April (so far) due to stringent plant closures, workplace controls across the region, supply chain challenges, and stay-at-home orders.
At that point, they will account for nearly 5% of light-duty vehicle sales in Europe, up from a little over 1% now, and for around 4% in both the US and China. The result will be rapidly rising market shares for electric vehicles in the biggest markets, even with oilprices staying low.
A consensus is developing that global oil production is less likely to come to a sharp peak and more likely to hit a plateau that might continue for some decades and then slowly decline. In response to these high prices, demand will moderate as petroleum consumers look for transportation options that are more energy efficient.
Lower crude oilprices and strong demand for petroleum products, primarily gasoline, both in the United States and globally, have led to favorable margins that encourage refinery investment and high refinery runs. The record high gross inputs reflect both higher refinery capacity and higher utilization rates.
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