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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oilprices.
In its January 2023 Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that crude oil production in the United States will average 12.4 In 2022, US crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.9 The forecast of crude oil production in the Permian increases by 470,000 b/d to average 5.7
The oil and gas boom in the United States was made possible by the extensive credit afforded to drillers. Junk-bond debt in energy has reached $210 billion, which is about 16 percent of the $1.3 Junk-bond debt in energy has reached $210 billion, which is about 16 percent of the $1.3 by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com.
Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oilprices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “ —Gabriel Collins.
Despite volatility in global oil markets, US crude oil exports reached a record high in 2020, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). As of 9 July 2021, US crude oil exports have averaged 3.00 The most recent four-week rolling average of US crude oil exports reached 3.51
The collapse in world oilprices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60
Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. So how strong, indeed, is the relationship in the United States between crude-oil and gasoline prices?
US crude oil production averaged 11.3 million b/d in 2019, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The production decline resulted from reduced drilling activity related to low oilprices in 2020. The production decline resulted from reduced drilling activity related to low oilprices in 2020.
Oilprices fell back suddenly over the last few trading sessions, dragged down by some forces beyond the oil market. dollar has helped drive up crude prices for weeks , but that came to an abrupt halt last week. A rebound for the greenback led to a steep decline in oilprices on Friday.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oilprice to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). in summer 2021.
As oilprices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. In a speech made at the Association of International Petroleum Negotiators’ 2017 International Petroleum Summit, Johnston laid out his concerns for the future of oil. oil may not be able to fill.
China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 to meet rising domestic consumption of petroleum products, according to analysis by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Energy Information Administration, based on data from China General Administration of Customs, as compiled by Bloomberg, L.P. increase from 2020.
The demand for oil in 2015 will drop to its lowest level since 2002 because of an oversupply of crude and stagnant economies in China and Europe, according to OPEC’s latest forecast. OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9
Energy demand growth moves to Asia. The newly released 2013 edition of the IEA World Energy Outlook (WEO) depicts a world in which some long-held tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten; importers are becoming exporters, while exporters are among the major sources of growing demand. Source: IEA. Click to enlarge.
In the Douglas-Westwood Monday note , Andy Jenkins from the energy research group’s London office observes that the decline in oilprices may impact deepwater production and in particular a key future enabler: subsea processing (SSP).
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oilprice is heading. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields , development of greenfields , and exploration for new resources.
shale in particular—is effectively capping the oilprice gains from that agreement. Four months after the OPEC/NOPEC deal took effect, oilprices dropped to the levels preceding the agreement, amid concerns over still stubbornly high inventories and rising U.S. oil production,” the consultancy noted.
The shale revolution’s sweet spot is oilfield services, the lower-risk backbone of the American oil and gas boom that pays off regardless of a play’s economics. And while oilprices slumped in October, drilling activity continues to rise, according to Baker Hughes , the third-largest oil services company.
New research led by Mohammad Masnadi, assistant professor of chemical and petroleum engineering at the University of Pittsburgh Swanson School of Engineering, offers a closer look at the relationship between decreasing demand for oil and a resilient, varied oil market—and the carbon footprint associated with both.
Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oilprices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.
In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).
US oil and gas rig counts dropped to their lowest level in over four years, falling by an additional 74 units for the week ending on January 16. The lower count provides fresh evidence that low oilprices are forcing drillers to pare back operations and slash spending. That pushed companies to focus on wet gas and oil.
It may be difficult to look beyond the current pricing environment for oil, but the depletion of low-cost reserves and the increasing inability to find major new discoveries ensures a future of expensive oil. The industry did not log a single “giant” oil field.
After declining in 2020, the combined production of US fossil fuels (including natural gas, crude oil, and coal) increased by 2% in 2021 to 77.14 Crude oil accounted for 30%, coal for 15%, and natural gas plant liquids (NGPLs) for 9%. quadrillion British thermal units. EIA expects those shares to remain similar through 2023.
Oilprices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. That has sparked a renewed sense of optimism among oil traders.
The impact of rising oilprices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oilprices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.
A team from the University of Tennessee and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has the fuel savings due to fuel economy improvements over the past 43 years amount to approximately two trillion gallons of gasoline. Their paper is published in the journal Energy Policy. Greene et al. has almost doubled. —Greene et al.
OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. mb/d for 2035 to 2040.
The ratio between the spot prices of crude oil and natural gas has been generally increasing since January 2009, but it has climbed rapidly in recent months, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The crude oil-to-natural gas spot price ratio has implications for production and consumption.
Columbia and Associate Director of the Maguire Energy Institute at the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University in Dallas says it has: “No question we’re seeing the effects of lower oilprices throughout the economy.”. decline curves eventually catch up with fewer rigs, oil supplies should start to fall.
Profound shifts in the regional distribution of oil demand and supply growth will redefine the refining industry and transform global oil trade over the next five years, according to the annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released by the International Energy Agency (IEA). The oil market is at a crossroads.
Oil markets have returned to relatively stable ground with Brent prices within a narrow $40-$45 per barrel range and could conclusively pass the $50 per barrel mark in the second half of 2021, according to Roger Diwan and the IHS Markit Energy Advisory Service. bbl in 2020 and $49.25/bbl bbl in 2021—up $7.09/bbl bbl and $5.25/bbl,
World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu. Liquid fuels.
Despite what appears to be a saturated oil market in 2014, oil producers around the world will struggle to meet rising demand over the next few decades. Global oil demand is expected to increase by 37 percent by 2040, with a dominant proportion of that coming from developing countries—i.e. China and India.
Strong continuing international demand for petroleum and other liquids will sustain US production above 2022 levels through 2050, according to most of the cases in the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023). Eventually this trend becomes unprofitable, at which point new drilling stops.
The latest crash in oilprices once again raises this prospect. On the one hand, lower oilprices – despite the recent rebound, prices are still down sharply from a few months ago – can cause some E&Ps to want to hold off on drilling new wells. The calculus on completing wells can cut two ways. production levels.
Short-term oil demand is still growing strong and will continue to do so through the end of 2020 despite the market’s increasing focus on electric vehicles and the forecasted future plateau in oil demand, according to new analysis from IHS Markit, a global business information provider. Source: IHS Markit 2018. —Spencer Welch.
Those claiming that oil will continue to fall from here and remain low for evermore, however, are flying in the face of both history and common sense. The question we should be asking ourselves is not if oilprices will recover, but when they will. Supply alone, however, doesn’t determine price.
On the growing list of … Continue Reading A Silver Lining to the OilPrice Cloud. Russia’s war on Ukraine will likely accelerate reductions in transportation emissions. This week’s blog is co-authored with Erich Muehlegger and David Rapson of UC Davis.
Oil is a strategic commodity second to none—it underlies the global economy and even the American way of life. Of course, other countries benefit from this fact, with about $900 million flowing out of the US to buy foreign oil every day, and about 40% of that going to OPEC. [ Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.
Proponents of the concept of peak oil supply argue that the world faces a situation—possibly very soon—in which its capacity to produce oil hits a ceiling, with demand subsequently having to adjust as supply begins to decline and alternatives to oil move into the market to fill the gap. Earlier post.).
Their open-access paper appears in the journal Nature Energy. More specifically, reliably projecting the oil demand, a critical leading indicator of the state of the US economy, is beneficial to related business activities and investment decisions. Nat Energy doi: 10.1038/s41560-020-0662-1.
As November draws to a close, there are two major events that could profoundly change the oil markets. He says a deal is more likely than not due to the enormous financial pressure Iran is experiencing because of falling oilprices. Iran’s oil exports have more than halved from their pre-sanctions level of about 2.5
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that, absent significant changes in policy or technology, world energy consumption will grow by nearly 50% between 2020 and 2050. Liquid fuels remain the largest source of energy consumption, driven largely by the industrial and transportation sectors.
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