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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oilprices.
The collapse in world oilprices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60
Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Gasoline prices are also influenced by gasoline demand relative to gasoline supply.
Oilprices fell back suddenly over the last few trading sessions, dragged down by some forces beyond the oil market. dollar has helped drive up crude prices for weeks , but that came to an abrupt halt last week. A rebound for the greenback led to a steep decline in oilprices on Friday.
As oilprices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. These important questions aren’t getting enough attention according to Johnston, whose firm Eurasia Group foresees a fast-approaching supply gap that Saudi Arabia and U.S.
World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu.
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oilprice is heading. In fact, we have been highlighting this threat to the energy industry in articles since 2015, for example here , here , here and here.) Why the price of oil could spike before that. Since (non-U.S.
shale in particular—is effectively capping the oilprice gains from that agreement. Four months after the OPEC/NOPEC deal took effect, oilprices dropped to the levels preceding the agreement, amid concerns over still stubbornly high inventories and rising U.S.
Strong continuing international demand for petroleum and other liquids will sustain US production above 2022 levels through 2050, according to most of the cases in the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023).
It may be difficult to look beyond the current pricing environment for oil, but the depletion of low-cost reserves and the increasing inability to find major new discoveries ensures a future of expensive oil. However, now that oilprices are so low, oil companies have no room to boost spending.
The impact of rising oilprices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oilprices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.
Oilprices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. That has sparked a renewed sense of optimism among oil traders.
Despite what appears to be a saturated oil market in 2014, oil producers around the world will struggle to meet rising demand over the next few decades. A year ago, after the IEA released its 2013 WEO, I wrote about how the IEA was placing a surprising amount of faith in the ability of Iraq to scale up its oil production.
OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past.
Energy demand growth moves to Asia. The newly released 2013 edition of the IEA World Energy Outlook (WEO) depicts a world in which some long-held tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten; importers are becoming exporters, while exporters are among the major sources of growing demand. Source: IEA. Click to enlarge.
Columbia and Associate Director of the Maguire Energy Institute at the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University in Dallas says it has: “No question we’re seeing the effects of lower oilprices throughout the economy.”. decline curves eventually catch up with fewer rigs, oilsupplies should start to fall.
Their open-access paper appears in the journal Nature Energy. There are studies that discuss the impacts of unexpected natural hazards and/or disasters on energy demand and/or consumption and studies that evaluate the impacts of previous pandemics on tourism and economics. Nat Energy doi: 10.1038/s41560-020-0662-1.
In both the base-case and a scenario with more aggressive environmental policies, CO 2 emissions from energy use remain well above the IEA 450 scenario. Non-OECD countries are seen to rapidly increase their share of overall energy demand from just over half currently to two-thirds. Click to enlarge. per year.
If West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oilprices stabilize at or above $60 per barrel, major parts of the United States shale sector that are currently dormant will ramp up, according to an analysis by experts in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. Baker III and Susan G.
Those claiming that oil will continue to fall from here and remain low for evermore, however, are flying in the face of both history and common sense. The question we should be asking ourselves is not if oilprices will recover, but when they will. There is no doubt that supply has increased.
China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 to meet rising domestic consumption of petroleum products, according to analysis by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Energy Information Administration, based on data from China General Administration of Customs, as compiled by Bloomberg, L.P.
Oil markets have returned to relatively stable ground with Brent prices within a narrow $40-$45 per barrel range and could conclusively pass the $50 per barrel mark in the second half of 2021, according to Roger Diwan and the IHS Markit Energy Advisory Service. bbl in 2020 and $49.25/bbl bbl in 2021—up $7.09/bbl bbl and $5.25/bbl,
Many oil companies had trimmed their budgets heading into 2015 to deal with lower oilprices. But the collapse of prices in July—owing to the Iran nuclear deal, an ongoing production surplus, and economic and financial concerns in Greece and China—have darkened the mood. by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com.
Total global oil production could decline for the next several years in a row as scarce new sources of supply come online. According to data from Rystad Energy, overall global oil output will fall this year as natural depletion overwhelms all new sources of supply. The price acts as a self-correcting mechanism.
The year 2022 was marked by the emergence of longer-term economic repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic and an unexpected war in Eastern Europe that caused turmoil in energy markets. This reversal in 2022 was largely due to the substitution of coal with natural gas—a less carbon-intensive fuel—and a rise in renewable energy generation.
Profound shifts in the regional distribution of oil demand and supply growth will redefine the refining industry and transform global oil trade over the next five years, according to the annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released by the International Energy Agency (IEA).
Accenture has identified 12 technologies that it concludes have the potential to disrupt the current views of transport fuels supply, demand and GHG emissions over the next 10 years. Will be competitive at an oilprice of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Source: Accenture. Click to enlarge.
In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).
The brief is based on the book, Acting in Time on Energy Policy (Brookings 2009), edited by Kelly Sims Gallagher, director of the Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group at the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center. Acting in Time on Energy Policy”. Oil security policy. Climate change policy.
The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand.
The Nikkei reports that the nationwide average price in Japan for regular gasoline was ¥139.8 per gallon US) as of Monday, dropping for the 13 th straight week to a 16-month low, according to the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy. per liter ($6.65
The Sandia researchers showed that the key to meeting the RFS2 targets is the fuel price differential between E85 fuel and conventional gasoline (low ethanol blends), so that E85 owners refuel with E85 whenever possible. In other words, RFS2 will be satisfied if gasoline becomes significantly more expensive than E85 on a per energy basis.
The global energy map is changing significantly, according to the 2012 edition of the Internal Energy Agency’s (IEA) World Energy Outlook ( WEO-2012 ). The IEA said these changes will recast expectations about the role of different countries, regions and fuels in the global energy system over the coming decades.
The US Energy Information Administration released its Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) Reference case (the Early Release ), which highlights a growth in total US energy production that exceeds growth in total US energy consumption through 2040. Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oilprices and.
Energy executives expect continued volatility in the price-per-barrel of oil for the remainder of the year, with 64% predicting crude prices to exceed $121 per barrel. —John Kunasek, national leader of the KPMG US energy practice, and executive director for the KPMG Global Energy Institute.
Proponents of the concept of peak oilsupply argue that the world faces a situation—possibly very soon—in which its capacity to produce oil hits a ceiling, with demand subsequently having to adjust as supply begins to decline and alternatives to oil move into the market to fill the gap. Earlier post.).
World marketed energy consumption is projected to grow by 44% between 2006 and 2030, driven by strong long-term economic growth in the developing nations of the world, according to the reference case projection from the International Energy Outlook 2009 ( IEO2009 ) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
The oilprice shocks of the 1970s led the Brazilian government to address the strain high prices were placing on its fragile economy. Brazil, the largest and most populous country in South America, was importing 80% of its oil and 40% of its foreign exchange was used to pay for that imported oil. by Brian J.
While these studies (along with others) have made significant contributions to the literature, they only consider a single point in time or employ sector-specific models or calculations that ignore the interaction of EDVs with the rest of the energy system over time. As scenario parameters shift to values more favorable to EDVs—i.e.,
The OPIS survey tracks actual gallons moved out of retail stations and it features sharper losses than those reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The Rockies saw the smallest slide (5.6%) but that is substantial enough to impact supply and demand balances as winter approaches. Northeastern gasoline sales dropped 10.1%
That leaves a rather large backlog that could add a wave of new supply, even if the pace of drilling begins to slow. Some level of DUCs is normal, but the ballooning number of uncompleted wells has repeatedly fueled speculation that a sudden rush of new supply might come if companies shift those wells into production.
A new study by the Peterson Institute for International Economics concluded that the Kerry-Lieberman “American Power Act”—the energy and climate change legislation recently introduced in the Senate ( earlier post )—would reduced US oil imports by 33-40% below current levels and by 9-19% below projected business-as-usual levels by 2030.
Departments of Agriculture, Energy and Navy, is scheduled to break ground this fall in Lakeview, Ore. As we look to break ground on our refinery in the coming months, we’re thrilled to have signed a contract with FedEx as they look to diversify their fuel supply and reduce emissions throughout their aviation unit. Earlier post.).
On 16 May 2022, the average US on-highway retail diesel fuel price was $5.61 gal increase from January 3, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Prices of distillate fuels change with the price of crude oil and with developments specific to distillate product markets.
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