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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oilprices.
Junk-bond debt in energy has reached $210 billion, which is about 16 percent of the $1.3 That is a dramatic rise from just 4 percent that energy debt represented 10 years ago. As is the nature of the junk-bond market, lots of money flowed to companies with much riskier drilling prospects than, say, the oil majors.
Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oilprices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “ —Gabriel Collins.
The collapse in world oilprices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60
Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Even a cursory look reveals that the relationship between the two sets of prices is not perfect.
Oilprices fell back suddenly over the last few trading sessions, dragged down by some forces beyond the oil market. dollar has helped drive up crude prices for weeks , but that came to an abrupt halt last week. A rebound for the greenback led to a steep decline in oilprices on Friday.
In its January 2023 Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that crude oil production in the United States will average 12.4 In 2022, US crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.9 The forecast of crude oil production in the Permian increases by 470,000 b/d to average 5.7
As oilprices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. With this kind of impending discrepancy between supply and demand, the industry needs to start looking for new sources of oil, and quickly. by Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com.
Despite volatility in global oil markets, US crude oil exports reached a record high in 2020, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). As of 9 July 2021, US crude oil exports have averaged 3.00 The most recent four-week rolling average of US crude oil exports reached 3.51
In the Douglas-Westwood Monday note , Andy Jenkins from the energy research group’s London office observes that the decline in oilprices may impact deepwater production and in particular a key future enabler: subsea processing (SSP).
OPEC’s monthly report said demand for the cartel’s oil will fall to 28.9 Add to that a new report from the US government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA), which also cut its 2015 forecast for growth in global oil demand by 240,000 barrels per day, down to 880,000 barrels per day.
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oilprice is heading. In fact, we have been highlighting this threat to the energy industry in articles since 2015, for example here , here , here and here.) Why an oilprice spike would be bad for the industry. Since (non-U.S.
shale in particular—is effectively capping the oilprice gains from that agreement. Four months after the OPEC/NOPEC deal took effect, oilprices dropped to the levels preceding the agreement, amid concerns over still stubbornly high inventories and rising U.S.
A team from the University of Tennessee and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has the fuel savings due to fuel economy improvements over the past 43 years amount to approximately two trillion gallons of gasoline. Their paper is published in the journal Energy Policy. Greene et al. has almost doubled. —Greene et al.
Predicting and diagnosing the trajectory of oilprices has become something of a cottage industry in the past year. But along with all of the excess crude flowing from the oil patch, there is also an abundance of market indicators that while important, tend to produce a lot of noise that makes any accurate estimate nearly impossible.
World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu. Liquid fuels.
US oil and gas rig counts dropped to their lowest level in over four years, falling by an additional 74 units for the week ending on January 16. The lower count provides fresh evidence that low oilprices are forcing drillers to pare back operations and slash spending. That pushed companies to focus on wet gas and oil.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that, absent significant changes in policy or technology, world energy consumption will grow by nearly 50% between 2020 and 2050. Liquid fuels remain the largest source of energy consumption, driven largely by the industrial and transportation sectors.
US crude oil production averaged 11.3 million b/d in 2019, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The production decline resulted from reduced drilling activity related to low oilprices in 2020. In January 2020, US crude oil production reached a peak of 12.8 million b/d.
Oilprices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com. More output is bearish.”
It may be difficult to look beyond the current pricing environment for oil, but the depletion of low-cost reserves and the increasing inability to find major new discoveries ensures a future of expensive oil. The IEA predicts that the oil industry will need to spend $850 billion annually by the 2030s to increase production.
The impact of rising oilprices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oilprices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.
Global energy intensity, 1981-2010. Global energy intensity—defined as total energy consumption divided by gross world product—increased 1.35% in 2010, the second year of increases in the context of a broader trend of decline over the last 30 years, according to a new Vital Signs Online article from the Worldwatch Institute.
OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past.
Energy demand growth moves to Asia. The newly released 2013 edition of the IEA World Energy Outlook (WEO) depicts a world in which some long-held tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten; importers are becoming exporters, while exporters are among the major sources of growing demand. Source: IEA. Click to enlarge.
On the growing list of … Continue Reading A Silver Lining to the OilPrice Cloud. Russia’s war on Ukraine will likely accelerate reductions in transportation emissions. This week’s blog is co-authored with Erich Muehlegger and David Rapson of UC Davis.
Strong continuing international demand for petroleum and other liquids will sustain US production above 2022 levels through 2050, according to most of the cases in the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023). Eventually this trend becomes unprofitable, at which point new drilling stops.
In both the base-case and a scenario with more aggressive environmental policies, CO 2 emissions from energy use remain well above the IEA 450 scenario. Non-OECD countries are seen to rapidly increase their share of overall energy demand from just over half currently to two-thirds. Click to enlarge. per year.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oilprice to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). in summer 2021.
After declining in 2020, the combined production of US fossil fuels (including natural gas, crude oil, and coal) increased by 2% in 2021 to 77.14 US crude oil production dropped slightly, by an estimated 1%, in 2021, but EIA expects it to increase by 6% in 2022 and 5% in 2023. quadrillion British thermal units.
If West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oilprices stabilize at or above $60 per barrel, major parts of the United States shale sector that are currently dormant will ramp up, according to an analysis by experts in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. Baker III and Susan G.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that retail gasoline prices will average $3.84 per gallon this summer driving season—April through September—compared with last summer’s average price of $3.06/gal. Source: US Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO).
Columbia and Associate Director of the Maguire Energy Institute at the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University in Dallas says it has: “No question we’re seeing the effects of lower oilprices throughout the economy.”. The question begs then, has that money shown up in other parts of the economy?
Those claiming that oil will continue to fall from here and remain low for evermore, however, are flying in the face of both history and common sense. The question we should be asking ourselves is not if oilprices will recover, but when they will. Supply alone, however, doesn’t determine price.
Their open-access paper appears in the journal Nature Energy. There are studies that discuss the impacts of unexpected natural hazards and/or disasters on energy demand and/or consumption and studies that evaluate the impacts of previous pandemics on tourism and economics. Nat Energy doi: 10.1038/s41560-020-0662-1.
A wild recent day for oilprices demonstrates OPEC’s enduring influence. Oilprices were … Continue Reading OilPrice Fluctuations and the Power of OPEC. Last week Saudi Arabia announced that it will reach $300+ billion in government revenues for 2022.
Synthesis Energy Systems, Inc., an energy and gasification technology company, has received a $5.0 With potential shortfalls and price increases for natural gas, higher oilprices due to unrest in the Middle East and fresh concerns over the safety of nuclear energy, clean-coal technology is becoming even more attractive.
The brief is based on the book, Acting in Time on Energy Policy (Brookings 2009), edited by Kelly Sims Gallagher, director of the Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group at the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center. Acting in Time on Energy Policy”. Oil security policy. Climate change policy.
Oil markets have returned to relatively stable ground with Brent prices within a narrow $40-$45 per barrel range and could conclusively pass the $50 per barrel mark in the second half of 2021, according to Roger Diwan and the IHS Markit Energy Advisory Service. bbl in 2020 and $49.25/bbl bbl in 2021—up $7.09/bbl bbl and $5.25/bbl,
Oil companies continue to get burned by low oilprices, but the pain is bleeding over into the financial industry. Major banks are suffering huge losses from both directly backing some struggling oil companies, but also from buying high-yield debt that is now going sour. High-yield energy debt has swelled from just $65.6
The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand.
China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 to meet rising domestic consumption of petroleum products, according to analysis by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Energy Information Administration, based on data from China General Administration of Customs, as compiled by Bloomberg, L.P.
The year 2022 was marked by the emergence of longer-term economic repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic and an unexpected war in Eastern Europe that caused turmoil in energy markets. This reversal in 2022 was largely due to the substitution of coal with natural gas—a less carbon-intensive fuel—and a rise in renewable energy generation.
And while oilprices slumped in October, drilling activity continues to rise, according to Baker Hughes , the third-largest oil services company. Dave Werklund is Chairman of Calgary-based Aveda Transportation and Energy Services —whose stock has gone from $5.85-$4 in the last two months, despite no downturn in business.
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