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seen in 2010, according to the newly released BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2012. Emerging economies accounted for all of the net growth, with OECD demand falling for the third time in the last four years, led by a sharp decline in Japan. in the emerging economies. Global energy consumption grew by 2.5%
As oilprices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. With this kind of impending discrepancy between supply and demand, the industry needs to start looking for new sources of oil, and quickly. by Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com.
World energy growth over the next twenty years is expected to be dominated by emerging economies such as China, India, Russia and Brazil while improvements in energy efficiency measures are set to accelerate, according to BP’s latest projection of energy trends, the BP Energy Outlook 2030. Click to enlarge. Coal will increase by 1.2%
This also demonstrates how the OPEC strategy of maintaining an oilprice ceiling is affecting US E&P companies, forcing a consolidation which I believe will be unprecedented in size and scope. Expect the dollar to weaken considerably, breaching the 2015 lows thus supporting oilprices now and into 2016.
Within the US , an analysis of weekly new vehicle registration statistics, available sooner than full-month production figures, confirms the expected direction of the market and shows a strong fall in the last two weeks of March, with a sizable decline as the COVID-19 situation evolved around the US.
Energy is the foundation of Russia, its economy, its government, and its political system. Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ).
A consensus is developing that global oil production is less likely to come to a sharp peak and more likely to hit a plateau that might continue for some decades and then slowly decline. In response to these high prices, demand will moderate as petroleum consumers look for transportation options that are more energy efficient.
Moreover, with the massive drop in oilprices , gas-powered vehicles are more economical to operate, which makes it harder to argue that EVs will help drivers save money on fuel. In fact, just a few days ago Germany and France announced a €500 billion green recovery fund to accelerate the EU’s shift to a low-carbon economy.
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