Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 7, 2021

Renewables will be the primary source for new electricity generation, but natural gas, coal, and increasingly batteries will be used to help meet load and support grid reliability. Oil and natural gas production will continue to grow, mainly to support increasing energy consumption in developing Asian economies.

Global 259

Global Emissions Energy Asia 259

Green Car Congress

APRIL 7, 2021

EIA also forecasts the Brent crude oil price will average $64 per barrel this summer, a 78% increase from last summer’s average of $36 per barrel. That price increase paired with an increase in gasoline and diesel demand will likely increase the cost of regular gasoline and diesel fuel this summer. gal last summer.

2019 186

2019 Fuel Coal 2020 186

Green Car Congress

JUNE 10, 2011

SES and Zuari have been investigating business development opportunities where SES’ U-GAS technology for coal gasification can be integrated into industrial projects in India, including the potential for application of the U-GAS technology in Zuari’s own industrial plants and potential plant expansions.

Coal 199

Coal India Industry Industrial 199

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 24, 2010

Comparison of coal consumption and CO 2 emissions for co-production and separate production of liquids and power. Conventional CTL plant gasifies coal to produce a syngas which is then converted in a Fischer-Tropsch reactor to products. Even with CCS, the liquid product costs are comparable to recent crude oil prices.

Coal 231

Coal Oil Prices CO2 Gas-Electric 231

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 19, 2010

Ceres recently released a new report concluding that coal-to-liquid (CTL) and oil shale technologies face significant environmental and financial obstacles—from water constraints, to technological uncertainties to regulatory and market risks—that pose substantial financial risks for investors involved in such projects.

Coal 210

Coal Oil Water Oil Prices 210

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 9, 2016

Natural gas spot prices shot up following the data release on August 4, although they fell back again shortly after. Natural gas consumption patterns are much more seasonal than for oil. Natural gas prices have traded below $3 per million Btu since the beginning of 2015. But that doesn’t look like it will come to pass.

Gas 150

Gas Price Gas-Electric Oil 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 25, 2009

Australia’s Syngas Limited has engaged Rentech to provide Fischer-Tropsch fuels production preliminary engineering services for Syngas’ proposed commercial scale coal and biomass to liquids (CBTL) fuels facility in Southern Australia, known as the Clinton Project. Additionally, the Clinton coal fluidizes well.

Coal 218

Coal Australia Diesel Oil Prices 218

Green Car Congress

JUNE 5, 2012

The break-even crude oil price for a delivered biomass cost of $94/metric ton when hydrogen is derived from coal, natural gas or nuclear energy ranges from $103 to $116/bbl for no carbon tax and even lower ($99–$111/bbl) for the carbon tax scenarios. —Singh et al. We’re in the ballpark.

Oil Prices 236

Oil Prices Tax Coal Hydrogen 236

Green Car Congress

JULY 25, 2013

The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $112 per barrel in 2012, and EIA’s July 2013 Short-Term Energy Outlook projects averages of $105 per barrel in 2013 and $100 per barrel in 2014. Despite rising fuel prices, use of liquids for transportation increases by an average of 1.1% Liquid fuels.

2010 317

2010 Transportation Fuel Energy 317

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 4, 2019

China continued to implement policies designed to shift households and businesses from coal to gas boilers, mainly for air quality reasons. Oil represented the largest share of final demand, at around 41%, but demand growth slowed to 1.5% In 2018, higher oil prices helped dampen demand for road transport fuels.

Global 150

Global Energy 2018 Coal 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

Fourth, CO 2 prices as high as 100 $/t do not provide sufficient incentive for vehicle electrification. In their analysis, the authors examined the effect of 5 factors on EDV deployment: crude oil and natural gas prices; a federal CO 2 policy; a federal renewable portfolio standard (RPS); and EDV battery cost.

Emissions 236

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil 236

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 11, 2023

EIA expects crude oil prices to decrease through 2023 and 2024, even as petroleum consumption increases, largely because growth in crude oil production in the United States and abroad will continue to increase over the next two years. Areas of uncertainty include Russian oil supply and OPEC production. per gallon in 2024.

Oil Prices 210

Oil Prices Oil Global Price 210

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 8, 2018

However, the study found that the growth of CO 2 emissions by 2030 would only be 1-5% lower than if subsidies had been maintained, regardless of whether oil prices are low or high. First, these subsidies generally apply only to oil, gas, and electricity. This is facilitated by today’s low oil prices.

Emissions 186

Emissions Fuel CO2 Oil 186

Green Car Congress

APRIL 11, 2017

High oil and coal production also could contribute to diesel consumption growth, EIA notes. Increases in oil drilling activity leads to higher consumption of distillate fuel, which is used to operate and transport drilling rigs. Higher coal production leads to increased rail shipments, which consumes diesel fuel.

Gasoline 150

Gasoline Gasoline-Electric Production Oil 150

Electric Auto Association

JULY 7, 2022

The market pricing for vehicle fuels depends largely on global supply/demand and foreign crises with the net result of sometimes extreme price volatility. The global petroleum market is complex and there are certainly other impacts to consumer fuel pricing, but global oil prices are the largest component.

West Virginia 52

West Virginia Virginia Energy Oil Prices 52

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

This larger resource leads to about double the shale gas production and more than 20% higher total lower-48 natural gas production in 2035, with lower natural gas prices, than was projected in the AEO2010 Reference case. In 2035, the average real price of crude oil in the Reference case is $125 per barrel in 2009 dollars.

Gas 199

Gas 2011 Price Energy 199

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 23, 2017

About two-thirds of China’s methanol feedstock is produced from coal and the remainder from coking gas (a by-product of steel production) and natural gas. China has abundant coal resources, and for more than a decade the country has increased its capacity to manufacture methanol using coal as a feedstock.

2000 150

2000 2016 Fuel China 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020 150

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 28, 2019

And it has become clear that not only oil and gas giants are being targeted, after one of the world’s largest mining and commodity trading companies, Glencore, decided to put a limit on its thermal coal investment. The latter is partly caused by “global warming constraints” and lower oil prices in general.

Oil 231

Oil Industry Industrial Financing 231

Green Car Congress

MAY 24, 2012

Coal accounted for 45% of total energy-related CO 2 emissions in 2011, followed by oil (35%) and natural gas (20%). China made the largest contribution to the global increase, with its emissions rising by 720 million tonnes (Mt), or 9.3%, primarily due to higher coal consumption. This represents an increase of 1.0 In 2011, a 6.1%

2011 230

2011 Emissions Global CO2 230

Green Car Congress

JULY 20, 2012

savings stimulated by high oil prices led to a decrease of 3% in CO 2 emissions in the European Union and of 2% in both the United States and Japan. tonnes per capita, despite a decline due to the recession in 2008-2009, high oil prices and an increased share of natural gas. Coal consumption in China increased by 9.7%

2011 236

2011 Emissions CO2 Global 236

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 28, 2017

Refiners will experience significant price impacts as they shift production to deliver more lower-sulfur fuels to the market and, at the same time, find a market for the higher-sulfur fuels they produce. IHS Markit expects an unprecedented light-heavy price spread during 2020 to 2021.

Mariner 150

Mariner 2020 Fuel Oil 150

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 12, 2012

The MTOMR is the last in a series of medium-term forecasts that the IEA devotes to each of the four main primary energy sources: oil, gas, coal and renewable energy. But it also highlights elevated supply and demand risks.

Oil 255

Oil Oil-Sands Global Oil Prices 255

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 19, 2011

Natural gas is projected to be the fastest growing fossil fuel, and coal and oil are likely to lose market share as all fossil fuels experience lower growth rates. The region’s total demand for oil and other liquids peaked in 2005 and will be back at roughly the level of 1990 by 2030. Coal will increase by 1.2%

Energy 210

Energy Economy Global Oil-Sands 210

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 25, 2009

The five different fuel groups were those derived: from conventional petroleum; from unconventional petroleum; synthetically from natural gas, coal, or combinations of coal and biomass via the FT process; renewable oils; and alcohols. Adverse effects of ULS jet fuel would include higher fuel prices (by about $0.05

MIT 250

MIT Oil-Sands Commercial Available 250

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2013

China is about to become the largest oil-importing country and India becomes the largest importer of coal by the early 2020s. High oil prices, persistent differences in gas and electricity prices between regions and rising energy import bills in many countries focus attention on the relationship between energy and the broader economy.

Oil 275

Oil 2013 Energy Emissions 275

Green Car Congress

APRIL 25, 2010

Dimethyl ether is a diesel fuel replacement that can be produced from abundant resources including natural gas, landfill methane, coal and biomass. At current oil prices, DME can be produced and distributed at less than 1/2 the cost of conventional fuel.

Alternative Fuels 231

Alternative Fuels Diesel Engine Companies 231

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. The decline reflects increased domestic production of both petroleum and natural gas, increased use of biofuels, and lower demand resulting from the adoption of new vehicle fuel efficiency standards and rising energy prices. slower growth in E85 sales.

Fuel 225

Fuel Energy Sale 2013 225

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

The outlook reflects increased use of LNG in markets outside of North America, strong domestic natural gas production, reduced pipeline imports and increased pipeline exports, and relatively low natural gas prices in the United States compared to other global markets. Use of renewable fuels and natural gas for electric power generation rises.

Oil 210

Oil 2005 Production 2010 210

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 11, 2010

The fortunes of alternative energy have historically waxed and waned with the price levels of oil, gas, and other energy sources, rising when prices are high only to fall once they retreat. Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost.

Solar 295

Solar Boston Consulting Group Powered Power 295

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 7, 2009

Background colors of the cells represent the crude oil price required for economic feasibility. These synthetic fuels are economically competitive with petro-diesel when the crude oil price (COP) is at or above $86 per barrel (based on a 20% rate of return, in January 2008 dollars, with a carbon price of zero).

Carbon 186

Carbon Diesel Fuel Coal 186

Green Car Congress

JUNE 26, 2009

In addition to high oil prices and the financial crisis, the increased use of new renewable energy sources, such as biofuels for road transport and wind energy for electricity generation, had a noticeable and mitigating impact on CO 2 emissions. Fossil oil consumption decreased by one per cent, due to high prices and more biofuels.

2008 170

2008 Oil Renewable Emissions 170

Green Car Congress

MAY 27, 2009

World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006 150

2006 Emissions Energy Oil-Sands 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

barely rises in OECD countries, although there is a pronounced shift away from oil, coal (and, in some countries, nuclear) towards natural gas and renewables. Oil demand reaches 99.7 mb/d in 2011, and the average IEA crude oil import price rises to $125/barrel (in year-2011 dollars) in 2035 (over $215/barrel in nominal terms).

Global 225

Global 2012 Energy Oil 225

Green Car Congress

MAY 12, 2011

Energy executives expect continued volatility in the price-per-barrel of oil for the remainder of the year, with 64% predicting crude prices to exceed $121 per barrel. Only 35% think current crude prices are near the high they expect for oil this year, predicting the peak will be between $111 and $120 per barrel.

Oil 225

Oil Energy 2011 Wind 225

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility. With the current fuel mix of the US power sector (about half coal, about 30% “carbon-free”), CO 2 emissions for HEVs and EVs are similar.

Transportation 252

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil 252

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

The team explored other scenarios including different levels of CO 2 and CH 4 fees applied to the BAU and OPT scenarios; different levels of LDV demand; and different oil prices. Electricity generation from natural gas increases over time in both scenarios, whereas generation from existing coal plants declines.

Emissions 150

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal 150