Coal, Miles and Oil Prices

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

IEA: Global CO2 emissions up by 1.0 Gt (3.2%) in 2011 to record high

Green Car Congress

MAY 24, 2012

Coal accounted for 45% of total energy-related CO 2 emissions in 2011, followed by oil (35%) and natural gas (20%). China made the largest contribution to the global increase, with its emissions rising by 720 million tonnes (Mt), or 9.3%, primarily due to higher coal consumption. This represents an increase of 1.0 In 2011, a 6.1%

2011

2011 Emissions Global CO2

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

As a result, annual increases in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in LDVs average 0.9% Personal air travel (billion seat-miles) grows by an average of 0.7% Natural gas overtakes coal as the largest fuel for US electricity generation. Projected low prices for natural gas make it a very attractive fuel for new generating capacity.

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

quadrillion Btu in 2035 in the AEO2011, about the same as projected in the AEO2010 Reference case, as lower projections for vehicle-miles traveled are offset by relatively lower fuel economy improvements after CAFE standards applicable for model year 2020 are achieved. Energy consumption for light-duty vehicles grows from 16.7

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Green Car Congress

MAY 11, 2010

TGC plans to tap into its 1,000-mile utility pipeline system at key locations to separate the hydrogen from the stream through Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA) technology for use by local fueling stations for fuel cell vehicles. million miles of real-world driving by thousands of people since 2007. TGC H 2 Production. Earlier post.)

Hawaii

Hawaii Hydrogen GM Gas

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. Building on the SHEV drivetrains, they assumed PHEVs with an electric range of 50 km (31 miles) and. BPEVs with a range of 250 km (15 miles). GHG emissions from electric driving depend most on the fuel type (coal or natural gas) used.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging Gasoline-Electric Plug

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Energy

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Despite the projected increase in LDV miles traveled, energy consumption for LDVs further decreases after 2025, to 13.0 Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. After 2015, the Brent price increases, reaching $163 per barrel in 2040, as growing demand leads to the development of more costly resources.

Fuel

Fuel Energy 2013 Hybrid

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

Green Car Congress

MAY 27, 2009

World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006

2006 Emissions Energy Oil-Sands

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

In the OPT scenario, estimated well-to-wheels GHG emissions from full-size BEVs with 100-mile range are 62 gCO 2 -e mi –1 in 2050, while those from full-size ICEVs are 121 gCO 2 -e mi –1. In the OPT scenario BEVs gain a LDV market share of about 15%—all from 100-mile range EVs (BEV100) by 2030.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. Customers want adequate range (the example he gave was from Munich to Hamburg—about 775 km (480 miles), a one-to-two hour recharging time along with a quick charge option; and a price increase of a maximum €2,000 (US$2,800) more than today.

2013

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Revenge of the Electric Car

DECEMBER 3, 2008

Clean base load energy is particularly important since that is usually generated by nukes, burning coal or, in the case of Hawaii, oil. As Hawaii taps into more of this clean geothermal energy, they can retire, one by one, their dirty, expensive oil burners. This means it is a “base load&# energy. The state has about 1.2

Hawaii

Hawaii Renewable Energy San Francisco

EV Driven

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

IEA: Global CO2 emissions up by 1.0 Gt (3.2%) in 2011 to record high

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Stay Connected