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savings stimulated by high oilprices led to a decrease of 3% in CO 2 emissions in the European Union and of 2% in both the United States and Japan. The United States remain one of the largest emitters of CO2, with 17.3 At 3%, the 2011 increase in global CO 2 emissions is above the past decade’s average annual increase of 2.7%.
India’s emissions rose by 140 Mt, or 8.7%, moving it ahead of Russia to become the fourth largest emitter behind China, the United States, and the European Union. However, China’s carbon intensity—the amount of CO 2 emitted per unit of GDP—fell by 15% between 2005 and 2011. Gt, the IEA said.
High oilprices, persistent differences in gas and electricity prices between regions and rising energy import bills in many countries focus attention on the relationship between energy and the broader economy. However, this does not imply a new era of oil abundance, the report cautions.
In addition to high oilprices and the financial crisis, the increased use of new renewable energy sources, such as biofuels for road transport and wind energy for electricity generation, had a noticeable and mitigating impact on CO 2 emissions. Global CO2 emissions increased from 15.3 Source: PBL. Click to enlarge.
However, the study found that the growth of CO 2 emissions by 2030 would only be 1-5% lower than if subsidies had been maintained, regardless of whether oilprices are low or high. The largest effects of removing subsidies were found in areas that export oil and gas, such as Russia, Latin America, and the Middle East and North Africa.
World energy growth over the next twenty years is expected to be dominated by emerging economies such as China, India, Russia and Brazil while improvements in energy efficiency measures are set to accelerate, according to BP’s latest projection of energy trends, the BP Energy Outlook 2030. Click to enlarge. mmbpd by 2030 from 1.8
World oilprices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oilprices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oilprices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.
Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oilprice remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.
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