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GlobalData: COVID-19 puts EV sales and CO2 fleet emission targets at risk

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GlobalData research shows that lower oil prices as a result of the COVID-19 crisis could reduce electric vehicle demand and impair EU efforts to significantly reduce average new vehicle CO 2 emissions in the European car market. —Mike Vousden, Automotive Analyst at GlobalData.

CO2 353
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EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

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The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu. World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. Source: IEO2013. Click to enlarge.

2010 317
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IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

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improved battery chemistry that allows for faster and deeper charging and reductions in battery cell and other component costs), and oil prices increasing to $200 per barrel: Low. The high electric transportation scenario combines the advanced battery scenario with high oil prices ($200/barrel in 2035).

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IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

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High oil prices, persistent differences in gas and electricity prices between regions and rising energy import bills in many countries focus attention on the relationship between energy and the broader economy. However, this does not imply a new era of oil abundance, the report cautions.

Oil 275
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IEA: Global CO2 emissions up by 1.0 Gt (3.2%) in 2011 to record high

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gigatonnes (Gt) in 2011, according to preliminary estimates from the International Energy Agency (IEA). Coal accounted for 45% of total energy-related CO 2 emissions in 2011, followed by oil (35%) and natural gas (20%). Global CO 2 emissions from fossil-fuel combustion reached a record high of 31.6 This represents an increase of 1.0

2011 230
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Study finds that dry-feed gasification for coal-to-liquids is more efficient, lower-emitting and cheaper than slurry-feed; CCS cost-effective for reduction of CO2

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Even with CCS, the liquid product costs are comparable to recent crude oil prices. For a liquids-only configuration, CCS is a cheaper option when the CO 2 price exceeds $12/tonne. Plant-level CO 2 emissions can be greatly reduced by using the CCS technology, the study found, without much increase in capital cost.

Coal 231
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Study suggests that decarbonizing US transport sector by converting waste CO2 to fuels would require economical air-capture of CO2

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Kreutz presented the paper at the 10 th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies ( GHGT-10 ) earlier this fall in The Netherlands. CCTF will only employ direct CO 2 capture from air when the CO 2 emission price exceeds the cost of air capture. Kreutz used what he called a bifurcated climate regime—i.e.,