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Report suggests low-speed electric vehicles could affect Chinese demand for gasoline and disrupt oil prices worldwide

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Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oil prices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “

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IHS Markit says outlook for crude oil prices strengthens through 2021

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Meanwhile, the global demand recovery is showing clear signs of plateauing and Chinese crude buying has begun to soften. Barring a large second wave of COVID-19 cases driving widespread economic shutdowns, IHS Markit expects Brent will stay within a $40-$47/bbl price band on average over the next four quarters.

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Tesla’s production expansion, surging oil prices bring stock upgrade from Daiwa Securities

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Tesla’s ( NASDAQ: TSLA ) plans to expand its production capacity, along with other factors like surging oil prices that could sway consumers to electric vehicles, have contributed to Daiwa Securities analysts upgrading their outlook on the automaker’s stock. The factory in Shanghai manufactured 51.7

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

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IEA forecasts global oil demand to reach 101.6 mb/d in 2023; non-OECD countries lead expansion

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This situation might prove short-lived, however, as tougher sanctions on Russia come into full force, oil demand in China recovers from COVID-lockdowns, if sharper Libyan losses persist and the OPEC+ spare production capacity cushion erodes. In 2023, a resurgent China will boost non-OECD demand growth, offsetting a slowdown in the OECD.

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Saudis Expand Price War Downstream

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On the other hand, it won’t be easy for Saudi Arabia—Chinese refiners are also producing more gasoline, for which demand is still strong. Moreover, Indian refiners are now moving away from Saudi Arabia which was previously India’s largest crude oil supplier. However, one cannot easily neglect the Indian and Chinese refiners.

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PBL analysis finds that resources are not depleted, but expensive; badly functioning markets and wrong policies

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Thus, high energy prices lead to high food prices, as transport and fertilizers become more expensive. High oil prices increase the appeal of biofuels, and a subsequent increasing demand for corn and grain leads to higher food prices and additional food scarcity.

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