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Total visible copper stocks (LME + COMEX + SHFE + Chinese bonded warehouses) amounted to just 560kt at the end of January, noted critical materials supply chain intelligence company Roskill—only 11kt more than the lowest recent stock level of 549kt in December 2019.
Total Chinese stocks (658kt) are equivalent to 2.6 Chinese refined consumption rebounded 18% YOY in Q1 2021. Although Chile and Peru contributed 40% of global mine supply in 2020, Roskill observed, copper production there is yet to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels. These stocks, however, currently represent only 1.9
The outbreak of COVID-19 has already impacted the automotive industry significantly, according to JATO Dynamics, a leading provider of global automotive data and insight. Global vehicle sales totalled 5.55 —Felipe Munoz, JATO’s global analyst. million units in March 2020, down by 39% from March 2019. million units.
The Chinese government’s potential moves, including lowering the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) for major banks, could further energize metal demand and support copper prices. The report also highlights that global copper supply may face disruptions due to issues in major producing countries like Chile , Peru, and Panama.
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