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BCG Report Expects Battery Costs Will Constrain Widespread Market Adoption of Fully Electric Vehicles, Absent a Technology Breakthrough; Forecasts 26% of Major Market New Cars in 2020 To be Hybrid or Electric

Green Car Congress

As an example of cost direction, BCG forecasts that NCA cell and pack costs will decline 60-65% by 2020. Despite this cost challenge, however, the report projects steady growth for hybrid and electric cars—including mild- and full-hybrids; plug-in hybrids; extended range electric vehicles; and fully electric vehicles.

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A More Detailed Look at a Prismatic Li-ion Cell and Pack Manufacturing Process

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Each chemistry has its characteristics for power density, energy density, safety, cost and long-term reliability. The two half reactions for a Lithium Manganese Oxide (LMO) cell (with forward being discharge): Anode (hard carbon): Anode (Hard Carbon): Li x C 6 ? Assumptions behind cost calculations. cell cost = $20-$300.

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