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The official chatter is that the OPEC meeting in Algeria from September 26 to 28 could conclude with an agreement to freeze production by the member nations, with even Russia joining forces in a freeze that may prevent further oilprice erosion. What has changed from Doha to Algeria?
Simply put, the world has too much oil at the moment which has resulted in the reduction of price levels from approximately $100 to $50 a barrel, and OPEC (as well as US shale producers) has a major role to play in this supply glut. It also has the fifth largest proven crude oil reserves in the world.
OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oilprices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia's role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. percent from 10.2 percent in 1H 2015.
Even a casual glance at the IMF’s World Economic Outlook statistics for Russia shows the tight correlation since 1992 between GDP growth on the one hand and oil and gas output, exports, and prices on the other (economic series available here ). percent of GDP in 2014. Natural gas data from Gazprom). billion respectively).
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