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IHS Markit: global commercial vehicle production to drop 22% in 2020 in wake of COVID-19

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IHS Markit is forecasting that global commercial vehicle production (GVW 4-8) volumes in 2020 compared to 2019 will be down 22% (more than 650,000 units) to 2.6 decline in global real GDP in 2020. million units, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. China slowly gaining momentum after shutdown.

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EIA expects US motor fuel consumption to increase this summer, but remain below 2019 levels

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EIA also forecasts the Brent crude oil price will average $64 per barrel this summer, a 78% increase from last summer’s average of $36 per barrel. That price increase paired with an increase in gasoline and diesel demand will likely increase the cost of regular gasoline and diesel fuel this summer. million b/d from March 2020.

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3 Years Of Painful Cuts Sets Oil Markets Up For Serious Supply Crunch

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But Statoil’s CFO said the world could start to see supply problems by 2020. A sharp rise in oil prices would spur new investment and new drilling. The price acts as a self-correcting mechanism. When oil prices go up, people buy fuel efficient cars. Of course, these figures are not inevitable.

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. CAGR from 2012 through 2020 to about $250/kWh.

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Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

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Tax Credits Instead, Obama backed tax credits of as much as $7,500 inthe stimulus package approved in February for buyers of plug-incars. are also developingfuel-cell cars, those companies, as well as Honda, don’t expecthydrogen to be competitive with gasoline autos until about 2020. Oil prices are going to go up.

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Can Electric Vehicles Speed Up As The Economy Slows Down?

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Moreover, with the massive drop in oil prices , gas-powered vehicles are more economical to operate, which makes it harder to argue that EVs will help drivers save money on fuel. Additionally, consumers are likely to opt for more economical choices when possible, avoiding premium consumer goods.

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