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BCG forecasts electrified vehicles to take half of global auto market by 2030; hybrids to dominate

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In a new report (its fourth on electric car adoption) the Boston Consulting Group forecasts that a combination of hybrid and fully electric powertrains will cut the global market share of pure internal combustion engines (ICEs) by about 50% by 2030. Regional Market Variations.

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BCG Report Expects Battery Costs Will Constrain Widespread Market Adoption of Fully Electric Vehicles, Absent a Technology Breakthrough; Forecasts 26% of Major Market New Cars in 2020 To be Hybrid or Electric

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As an example of cost direction, BCG forecasts that NCA cell and pack costs will decline 60-65% by 2020. That same year, the market for electric-car batteries in those regions will reach $25 billion. Given current technology options, we see substantial challenges to achieving this goal by 2020. Source: BCG. Click to enlarge.

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Bosch developing sensor box for air taxis using production-tested components from automotive

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The Boston Consulting Group predicts that people around the world will take 1 billion flights in air taxis in 2030, once sharing services have also established a presence on fixed routes above the ground; most of those air taxis will be capable of operating without a pilot. Bosch is working on sensor technology for air taxis.

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BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

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Advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power (CSP), and solar photovoltaic power (PV) will see accelerating adoption and growth and are on track to change the global energy mix far earlier than is often assumed, according to a new report from The Boston Consulting Group (BCG). By 2020, CSP could provide power at $0.10

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PRTM: Operational Gains Can Help Drive Li-ion Cost Reduction Exceeding 50% by 2020, with Plug-in Vehicle Adoption of 10%

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A series of recent reports—one from the National Research Council (NRC) ( earlier post ) and another from the Boston Consulting Group ( earlier post )—concluded that an expected continuing high cost of lithium-ion batteries will dampen mass market adoption of plug-in vehicles. Earlier post.).

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Ford and Sollers sign MoU to establish a JV in Russia

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The proposed JV is one of a number of new market expansions focused on the Russian car market, which the Boston Consulting Group this week said may become the world’s sixth-largest by 2020, selling 4 million cars a year. Sollers had originally planned a joint venture with Fiat.

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Ricardo white paper outlines needed developments to realize autonomous driving

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According to the Boston Consulting Group, the projected size of the global autonomous vehicle market in 2025 will be $36 billion for partially autonomous vehicles (levels 1–3) and $6 billion for fully autonomous vehicles (level 4). This includes both passenger and commercial vehicle uses. —“Key Enablers”.