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Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact globaloilprices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “ —Gabriel Collins.
The City of Indianapolis will upgrade 425 non-police-pursuit sedans in its muncipal fleet to plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles by early 2016, cut the size of the fleet by 100 vehicles, and save $8.7 The City will replace 100 vehicles by the end of this year and 425 vehicles by the beginning of 2016. million over ten years.
Pike Research forecasts that the global market for biofuels will more than double over the coming decade, increasing from $82.7 BGPY in 2011) would represent just 7% of the estimated global transportation fuels market in 2021. Ultimately, widespread commercialization will depend on whether these ventures can reach price.
shale in particular—is effectively capping the oilprice gains from that agreement. Four months after the OPEC/NOPEC deal took effect, oilprices dropped to the levels preceding the agreement, amid concerns over still stubbornly high inventories and rising U.S.
Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oilprice is heading. But, WoodMackenzie says, many of these still-to-be-launched projects are uneconomical at oilprices in the $50s per barrel, meaning that they should not be expected to get the all-clear anytime soon. Since (non-U.S.
The impact of rising oilprices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oilprices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.
Oilprices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. That has sparked a renewed sense of optimism among oil traders.
Investor confidence in new upstream projects is being driven by the increasing number of oil and gas discoveries (242 last year alone), combined with consistently high oilprices and the arrival of new technologies that are giving the major firms access to deep offshore reserves that were previously technically and financially unviable.
Oilprices appear to be stuck in the $50s per barrel, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t serious supply risks to the market. An unexpected disruption could occur at any moment, as has happened in the past, leading to a sudden and sharp jump in prices. by Nick Cunningham for Oilprice.com.
Globaloil discoveries fell to a record low in 2016 as companies continued to cut spending and conventional oil projects sanctioned were at the lowest level in more than 70 years, according to the International Energy Agency, which warned that both trends could continue this year. Oil discoveries declined to 2.4
Pike forecasts that the global market for biofuels will increase from $82.7 between 2017 and 2021, as a combination of higher oilprices, emerging mandate. Pike projects that the Americas will account for 71% of global biofuels production. billion in 2011 to $185.3 billion by 2021. A more robust growth is expected.
The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oilprices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.
That figure is also up sharply from the 5,271 from the same month in 2016, a 60 percent increase. The latest crash in oilprices once again raises this prospect. Consequentially, we have lowered our expectations for oil production growth by about 500,000 bpd for 2020 and 2021, implying less need for takeaway capacity.”.
Global Bioenergies is now entering the final phase of demonstrating its technology for converting renewable carbon into hydrocarbons. The first trials on the demo plant in Leuna were successfully completed, within schedule, in the fall of 2016 and Global Bioenergies announced first production of green isobutene via fermentation.
According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%.
China is the global leader in methanol use and has recently expanded its methanol production capacity. The report estimates consumption to have been more than 500,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2016. Consumption of MTBE and other derivatives in China was estimated at 230,000 b/d in 2016.
Energy efficiency has tremendous potential to boost economic growth and avoid greenhouse gas emissions, but the global rate of progress is slowing, according to a new report by the International Energy Agency. Global primary energy demand rose by 2.3% Global primary energy demand rose by 2.3% This was slower than the 1.7%
OPEC’s coordinated effort to curtail global supply has so far managed to put a floor under oilprices, which have been sitting modestly above US$50 since the deal was announced at the end of November last year. Analysts and experts are now mostly predicting that oilprices will remain below US$60 this year.
Despite brash statements by US producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oilprices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oilprices as the world production surplus continues. Global Supply and Demand Fundamentals Continue to Worsen.
Total globaloil production could decline for the next several years in a row as scarce new sources of supply come online. According to data from Rystad Energy, overall globaloil output will fall this year as natural depletion overwhelms all new sources of supply. When oilprices go up, people buy fuel efficient cars.
Going from nearly 2 million barrels per day annual growth in 2018, an all-time global record, to essentially no growth by 2021 makes it pretty clear that this is a new era of moderation for shale producers. It all represents the strongest headwinds for shale producers since the oilprice collapse in 2015. —Raoul LeBlanc.
In fact, Jeffries sees the spring of 2016 as a more critical deadline for struggling drillers hoping to keep their credit lines open. “We Kicking the can means that production may not fall as fast as expected, which will mean oilprices may not begin to stage a rally as quickly as some had hoped.
A flood of bearish news has pushed down oilprices to their lowest levels in months, with WTI nearing $45 per barrel and Brent flirting with sub-$50 territory. With a bear market back, there is pessimism throughout the oil markets. However, the WTI/Brent spread has shrunk more dramatically since the collapse in oilprices.
The molybdenum market enjoyed three years of growing demand between 2016 and 2018, but macroeconomic concerns and a slower steel market resulted in a 2.3% Many molybdenum-containing steels and catalysts are used by the oil & gas industry, making molybdenum particularly sensitive to oil & gas market developments. decline in 2019.
Since Hyundai FLNG takes 25% less time to build compared to the onshore liquefaction and storage plant, the offshore plant could be an attractive option for oil majors and global shipping companies looking to commercialize stranded gas in offshore fields, the company suggests.
If You’re a Free Range Oil Producer. Despite low oilprices, Saudi Arabia is maintaining its investment in its oil industry. According to an August 26 Bloomberg article , the Saudi government is seeking ways to reduce investment in 2016 “.as percent increase) and 2016 (3.5 James Crandell, a Cowen & Co.
Lower crude oilprices and strong demand for petroleum products, primarily gasoline, both in the United States and globally, have led to favorable margins that encourage refinery investment and high refinery runs. Much of the refinery output is reaching global markets, as net exports are 19% higher this year through May.
Under the new forecast, EVs will displace 8 million barrels of transport fuel per day and add 5% to global electricity consumption (1,800 TWh by 2040 up from 6TWh in 2016). We see a momentous inflection point for the global auto industry in the second half of the 2020s.
One casualty of the oilprice downturn could be the megaproject. For years, as conventional oil reserves depleted and became increasingly hard to find, oil companies ventured into far-flung locales to find new sources of production. The collapse of oilprices, however, could kill off the megaproject.
Russia’s central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads in the European market amid the oilprice downturn.
BP has sanctioned the $9-billion Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the United States, despite the current low oilprice environment. Today, the leaner $9-billion project, which also includes capacity for water injection, is projected to be profitable at or below current oilprices.
In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the globaloil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices. Prices rebounded to $60 for a few months, before falling once again below $50.
The United States is projected to become a net exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2016, a net pipeline exporter in 2025, and an overall net exporter of natural gas in 2021. World oilprices rise in the Reference case, as pressure from growth in global demand continues. World liquids consumption grows from 87.1
Perspective by Oliver Hazimeh, Director of the North American Automotive Practice and the Global e-Mobility Practice, PRTM. Oilprice and supply dependencies will continue the search for alternative fuel sources, and battery powered vehicles can have a significant impact on that equation. Earlier post.].
It’s been six months now that oilprices have been reacting to OPEC, first to the possibility of an agreement, and then to the production cut deal itself, forged by OPEC to rebalance the market. Having a smaller footprint globally would, in turn, mean that OPEC would wield less influence over the price of oil.
A number of factors are pushing Saudi Arabia to raise its crude-oil production capacity, but the wide range of potential outcomes suggests that such an increase is a risky strategy for the kingdom and the global environment, according to a new article by an expert from Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Because quickly rising natural gas production outpaces domestic consumption, the United States will become a net exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2016 and a net exporter of total natural gas (including via pipelines) in 2020. Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oilprices and. than in AEO2012.
On 27 October 2016, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced that beginning on 1 January 2020, the maximum sulfur content allowed in marine bunker fuel will be reduced from 3.50% mass by mass (m/m) to 0.50% m/m (35,000 ppm to 5,000 ppm)—five years earlier than many expected. Earlier post.)
In 2016, the IMO confirmed that global refiners and shippers would have to comply with these new environmental regulations five years earlier than many anticipated, which sent tidal waves through two industries that typically take many years to adapt to such significant change.
AEO2011 assumes the adoption of CAFE standards for light-duty vehicles for model year 2011, as well as joint CAFE and greenhouse gas emissions standards set forth by the EPA and NHTSA for model years 2012 through 2016. In 2035, the average real price of crude oil in the Reference case is $125 per barrel in 2009 dollars.
IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 The size of the market contraction in Russia is the biggest wild card facing vehicle manufacturers across the European continent, if not the world, in 2015 and 2016.” North America continues to be an impetus to global light vehicle demand levels.
This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oilprice forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks. shale production, new oil discoveries, and new project start-ups also differ a lot. shale output. million bpd.
On a global level, 2015 and 2016 marked the lowest level of new conventional oil discoveries since 1952. In 2016, only 3.7 billion barrels of conventional oil were discovered, roughly 45 days of global crude consumption or 0.2 percent of global proved reserves. by Viktor Katona for Oilprice.com.
Oilprices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. The IEA says that in the third quarter of 2016, the US shale industry became cash flow neutral for the first time ever. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com. That isn’t a typo.
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