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EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

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World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu. Liquid fuels.

2010 317
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New study finds GHG emissions from palm oil production significantly underestimated; palm oil biofuels could be more climate-damaging than oil sands fuels

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Mha (20%) of the peatlands of Peninsular Malaysia, Sumatra and Borneo in 2010, surpassing the area of Belgium and causing an annual carbon emission from peat decomposition of 230–310 Mt CO 2 e. Slightly more than half of the GHG emissions for these biofuels in the EPA’s analysis came from land use change. Earlier post.).

Oil-Sands 314
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IHS CERA meta-analysis finds lifecycle GHG emissions for fuel produced solely from oil sands crude average 11% higher than from average crude refined in the US; high variability

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Average values for WTW GHG emissions for oil sands and other crudes, tight boundary. When the oil sands products refined in the United States are considered—a mixture of oil sands and lower-carbon blending components—the GHG emissions are, on average, 9% higher than the average crude processed in the US.

Oil-Sands 388
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Former president of Shell Oil calls for aggressive action on alternative fuels to break oil monopoly on transportation

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John Hofmeister, former President of Shell Oil Company and founder and CEO of Citizens for Affordable Energy (CFAE), is joining the Fuel Freedom Foundation (FFF) Advisory Board. We have to look at the fuels marketplace from a short-, a medium-, and a long-term perspective. We need a competitor for oil.

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ExxonMobil Outlook projects hybrids and advanced vehicles to account for nearly 50% of cars globally by 2040; fuel demand for for personal vehicles to peak and decline, while commercial transportation demand rises 70%

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Light duty vehicle fleet by type and average fuel efficiency. Exxon Mobil Corporation’s new The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 , released last week, projects that global energy demand in 2040 will be about 30% higher than it was in 2010 as population grows to 9 billion and global GDP doubles. Transportation fuel demand.

Personal 408
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MIT/UC Davis professors challenge claims that ethanol production decreased gasoline prices in 2010 and 2011

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Knittel/Smith results for implied gasoline price effects from elimination of ethanol for 2010 using Du/Hayes model and pooled-sample estimates. in 2010 and 2011, respectively. in 2010 and 2011, respectively. t margin for oil refiners. Results from Du/Hayes are indicated by the large square. Click to enlarge.

Davis 334
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Study finds that switch to heavy and synthetic crude oils could double or triple refinery emissions

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Increasing crude processing intensity and energy intensity with worsening oil quality. OQ: Crude feed oil quality. Switching to heavy crude oil and synthetic crude oil derived from oil sands bitumen in refineries could double or triple refinery emissions and add 1.6-3.7 PI: Crude processing intensity.

Oil 287